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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Rights Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In organizations with many stakeholders, it often blurs who actually decides and who is merely consulted. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Decision Rights matrix and an agreement. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Rights Matrix, Agreement | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionGovernanceAlignmentResponsibility | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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