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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen60-180 min15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten4-202-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving