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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Growth Flywheel |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | GrowthRetentionConversion |
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