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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Consensus Workshop |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a group needs a solid decision without outvoting individual factions, a Consensus Workshop creates a negotiable common ground. It makes agreement, reservations, and open tensions discussable at the same time. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 5-30 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Consensus Clusters, Theme Titles, Priority Areas | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationConsensusWorkshopAlignment | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |
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