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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  UX Research Card Sorting |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When content only makes sense internally and users can't find the structure again, card sorting exposes their mental order. Terms, groups, and naming are then aligned with the target group's expectations. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20-45 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Based on research question | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Content groups, Label set, IA hypotheses | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Information architectureNavigationStructure | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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