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Criterion
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-180 min15-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
4-201-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation