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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h20–45 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation Backlog
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Root causeQualityOperations
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Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints Thinking Process.
Systems Thinking
Theory of Constraints Thinking Process