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| Criterion |  Agile Bucket System |  Agile Story Points |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | laufend, 1-5 min je Item | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-9 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | EstimationAgileMeasurement | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |
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