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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Systems Thinking Iceberg Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 20-45 min | 20–45 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | Small cross-functional group | 2-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns |
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