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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a branching category tree with a highlighted search path and possible dead ends.
UX Research
Tree Testing
Paper illustration for Concierge MVP
Product Discovery
Concierge MVP
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When a navigation exists but search paths still fail, tree testing checks findability without visual distraction. The method shows whether labels, levels, and paths really lead to the intended destination.When an idea can first fail or grow through genuine hands-on support, it relies on manual work instead of automation. It shows whether user value holds up even under manual execution.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min1-2 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-8Based on research question3-10 Kunden
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFindability Metrics, Path Analysis, Revised IAConcierge Learnings, Service Blueprint, MVP Risks
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Information architectureNavigationFindability
MVPValidationServiceDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
First-click Testing method illustration showing its working structure
UX Research
First-click Testing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration showing three sorted card stacks and an open question about a possible group.
UX Research
Card Sorting