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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |
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