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Criterion
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-90 minLaufend, Wochen bis Monate5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-103-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte StoriesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
EstimationEffortRisk
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB