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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Problem Framing Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a team works on symptoms but the real question stays fuzzy, a Problem Framing Workshop sharpens the view of the right problem. It separates observation, interpretation, and target picture from each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Problem Statement, Scope Boundaries, Assumption List, Next Analysis Questions |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationAlignmentDiscovery |
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