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| Criterion |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-2 h | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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