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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min2-5 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
2-83-9
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRelative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing