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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Intervention Mapping.
Systems Thinking
Intervention Mapping
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-84-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingLogic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ChangeSystems thinkingCapability
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud