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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of GIST Planning with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
GIST Planning
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing