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| Criterion |  Operations After-Action Review |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20-45 min | 5-20 min | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-20 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | LearningOperationsImprovement | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
