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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min30-90 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-123-122-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation