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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitysame | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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