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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Operations Change Analysis |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-120 min | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-6 | 2-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Change Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action List | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison | EstimationForecastingFlow |
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