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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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