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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
A paper-based illustration representing Pirate Metrics (AARRR) with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
Pirate Metrics AARRR
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen1-2 h Setup, laufend
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten1-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
GrowthMetricsExperiments
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method