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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min15-45 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
2-81-82-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationForecastingFlow
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Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting