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Criterion
Visual Management workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Visual Management
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
With high tempo and many parallel topics, the method makes status, deviations, and priorities visible at a glance. It reduces search effort and prevents what matters from getting lost in daily work.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
Ongoing15-45 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
1-201-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Visual Board, Status Indicators, Exception CuesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
SignalsOperationsVisual management
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation