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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Operations Theory of Constraints |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 2-4 h Analyse, laufend | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Constraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow Metrics | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |
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