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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints.
Operations
Theory of Constraints
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item2-4 h Analyse, laufend1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
1-83-123-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesConstraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow MetricsBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement
FlowMeasurementConstraints
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation