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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |
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