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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing North Star Metric with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
North Star Metric
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-2 hMultiple workshops over several weeks
Participantsdifferent
1-83-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesNorth Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadenceHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention
GrowthBehaviorRetention
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Goal Question Metric with its method-specific working model.
Engineering
Goal Question Metric
Paper illustration of KPI Tree with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
KPI Tree