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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-60 minLaufend, Wochen bis Monate
Participantsdifferent
1-82-94-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortAgile
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation