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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 30-60 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
