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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | ICE Table, Top Idea List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
