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| Criterion | ![]() Business Strategy Three Horizons | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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