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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitysame
HighHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
4-123-8
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints Thinking Process.
Systems Thinking
Theory of Constraints Thinking Process
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis