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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |
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