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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper board with the four ROAM fields Resolved, Owned, Accepted, and Mitigated.
Agile
ROAM Board
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min20-40 min initial, dann laufendlaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-83-152-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesROAM Board, Owner ListThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskAgileTrackingAlignment
EstimationForecastingFlow
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting