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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-15 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | ROAM Board, Owner List | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
