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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
