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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Communication Plan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When many people need to be informed in parallel and messages would otherwise arrive unevenly or too late, a Communication Plan orders communication reliably. Channels, audiences, and cadences interlock so important information doesn't get lost. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | laufend | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Communication Plan, Channel Matrix, Message Cadence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationForecastingFlow | CommunicationStakeholdersDeliveryPlanning |
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