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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min15-60 minMultiple workshops over several weeks
Participantsdifferent
1-82-92-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationEffortAgile
GrowthBehaviorRetention
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing North Star Metric with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
North Star Metric