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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Operations Gemba Walk |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 30-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | LeanObservationProcessOperations |
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