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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  DevOps Game Day |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic. | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Halber Tag | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 5-20 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Simulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated Runbooks | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | ResilienceOperationsIncident | FailureResilienceRisk |
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