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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-3 h | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | FailureResilienceRisk | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |
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