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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Innovation Lotus Blossom |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a central question feels too large, the method breaks it into neighboring topic fields with their own depth of ideation. It holds structure and openness at the same time, so adjacent perspectives don't get lost. This grows an idea space out of a core problem. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Lotus Diagram, Idea Themes, Shortlist |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | BrainstormingIdeationCreativityDivergenceWorkshop |
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