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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
DecisionTreeOptions
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem