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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 45-60 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions |
Tags1 shared | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause |
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