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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-2 h Setup, laufend1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas