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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
laufend1-4 h or multiple rounds1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-124-12 Experten3-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationExpertsForecasting
FlowMeasurementConstraints
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Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints.
Operations
Theory of Constraints