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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Operations Theory of Constraints |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 10-30 min je Item | 2-4 h Analyse, laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Constraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow Metrics |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
