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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLow
Timedifferent
laufend20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-12Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation